{"id":257,"date":"2022-05-17T16:00:34","date_gmt":"2022-05-17T16:00:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dorseyentertains.com\/?p=257"},"modified":"2025-01-03T10:28:28","modified_gmt":"2025-01-03T10:28:28","slug":"looking-closer-at-bonds-inflation-risk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dorseyentertains.com\/index.php\/2022\/05\/17\/looking-closer-at-bonds-inflation-risk\/","title":{"rendered":"Looking Closer at Bonds Inflation Risk"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bonds are generally considered a defensive investment and a safe haven when markets trend down or become volatile. Yet, it\u2019s important to remember that bonds aren\u2019t immune to economic forces. Specifically, inflation can decimate the returns bonds offer through coupon payments. Investors looking at diversifying into bonds need to be aware of bonds\u2019 inflation risk and strategies for offsetting it.<\/p>\n

Inflation risk can be a tricky concept to understand because it\u2019s impacted by two diverse factors: bond interest rates and current inflation rates. Depending on the bond you hold and the macroeconomic forces affecting inflation, your bond portfolio could face more or less inflation risk than someone else\u2019s.<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s a closer look at bonds\u2019 inflation risk: the concept, how to measure it and strategies for mitigating risk over time as you build a healthy bond portfolio.<\/p>\n

\"Bonds<\/p>\n

What is Inflation Risk?<\/h2>\n

Inflation risk is the amount of your investment yield that\u2019s eroded by inflation over time. It\u2019s measured by subtracting the annual inflation rate from the annual yield of the investment, to arrive at the real rate of return<\/a>. Investors can apply this calculation in both forward-looking and retrospective capacities, to anticipate real rate of return before investing or to calculate the efficacy of an investment after exiting the position.<\/p>\n

Inflationary Risk Example<\/p>\n

Stephanie holds a five-year $10,000 bond with a 10% coupon rate. The annual inflation rate is 3%. Stephanie\u2019s bond has a diminishing rate of return year over year due to inflation risk. After year one, her $1,000 coupon payment is akin to $970. In year two, the $1,000 has a value akin to $940. This loss of value continues through the bond\u2019s term.<\/p>\n

How Inflation Affects Debts vs. Equities<\/h2>\n

Inflation risk affects all investments, because it\u2019s always working against value appreciation. However, it disproportionately affects debt assets more than equities. This is because the value of bonds remains fixed<\/a> over the term, whereas equities fluctuate in value and have the potential to appreciate more significantly to downplay inflationary concerns.<\/p>\n

In the bond inflation risk example above, there\u2019s nothing the investor can do to raise the value of that bond or the interest payments it yields. However, if they purchase stock in a company and that company appreciates 20% over the course of the year, the real rate of return can still outperform the market. Of course, this is a double-edged sword, since stock prices can also drop and exacerbate the losses incurred by inflation.<\/p>\n

How to Combat a Bond\u2019s Inflation Risk<\/h2>\n

Bonds are particularly at-risk for inflation concerns the longer the term of the bond. For instance, a 90-day Treasury Bill faces significantly less inflation risk than a 10-year Treasury Note. This is often the key to mitigating inflation risk within a bond portfolio.<\/p>\n

Investing strategies like bond ladders<\/a> and dumbbells are a great way to stagger bond terms in a way that allows investors to replace sub-par bonds as interest rates change against inflation. Consider this simple bond ladder:<\/p>\n